My entry into forecasting was in 1995 when I read an article in AI in Finance Magazine called "Tahiti or Bust." It outlined the experiences of a neural net expert who worked with a trader to develop a system for trading so they could both retire to Tahiti.
One of the things that they did was according to the article was use neural networks to forecast the markets, and then they combined this with the trader's expert knowledge of trading the SPX Index to develop a trading system.
The article ended, "And then we retired to Tahiti."
Since then, I've been researching different methods of market forecasting, including indicators, neural networks, genetic algorithms, and other methods. I still haven't found the silver bullet yet that will let me retire to Tahiti.
But, I have put together enough information that I think that is IS possible to forecast the markets, and trade successfully. However, I have yet to find all the methods that will allow me to do this.
This blog is to post some of what I've found, and hopefully some of you will find it interesting and share what you've found out, so I can finally get to Tahiti.
Thanks for reading!
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